What to Expect This Hurricane Season: 2025 Forecast & Trends

As the 2025 hurricane season begins, many Florida homeowners are asking the same question: What kind of hurricane activity should we expect this year? Based on current research and expert predictions, the answer is clear—this season could be one of the most active in recent years.

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), there’s a 60% chance of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season, with 13–19 named storms, 6–10 hurricanes, and 3–5 major hurricanes expected. Colorado State University’s forecast closely matches this outlook, calling for 17 named storms and 9 hurricanes—including 4 major systems.

What’s Driving the 2025 Hurricane Season Forecast?

Several key factors are contributing to this year’s elevated storm predictions:

• Warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic, which fuel stronger storms.
• ENSO-neutral conditions, meaning there’s no El Niño to suppress storm activity.
• Active West African monsoon patterns, which help generate storm systems that cross the Atlantic.

Additionally, scientists have observed a rise in rapid intensification, where storms strengthen quickly near landfall—a trend linked to climate change and warmer coastal waters.

Technology is Improving Hurricane Prediction

The good news? Forecasting continues to improve. New tools, including NOAA’s Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) and AI-powered models, are helping meteorologists predict storm strength and track with greater precision.

Be Prepared for Peak Season

The peak of hurricane season typically runs from August through October. Now is the time to check your storm protection, review emergency plans, and ensure your home is ready. At Storm Smart, we’re committed to helping you be smarter than the storms this year.

Need to upgrade your hurricane protection? Schedule your free in-home consultation.

Sources:
https://tropical.colostate.edu/forecasting.html
https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season